Real estate trends can be a great indicator of what’s coming next for Canadian real estate. But every housing market in Canada is different, so national housing prices should be considered in context. For example, we’re seeing home values drop in Saskatchewan this month while they’re skyrocketing in Toronto and Vancouver. Trends differ within each province as well. Alberta is a great example. Prices in major Albertan cities like Calgary and Edmonton are going up, but they’re falling in smaller secondary markets. So beware of the catch-all forecast for Canadian real estate. National housing prices might not reflect what’s going on in your area, and looking to local experts for real estate advice offers depth and context for your homebuying journey.
With bidding wars and supply shortages affecting resale and new builds, many buyers are wondering if the housing bubble will pop anytime soon. The upward trend in median prices and increased demand makes real estate intimidating for anyone looking to buy. How can you use local trends to forecast what will happen next in your area?
“I’d focus on the number of investors in a particular market, the growth of rental rates and a potential increase in interest rates to determine if a particular market is frothy and vulnerable to a sell off,” says Natalka Falcomer, Chief Real Estate Officer at Houseful
“The areas of concern are the ones where you see more investor activity; this is in secondary markets that are increasing in prices at eye-popping rates.”
We’ve compiled insights from three agents based in Ontario and Alberta to give you a sense of how local trends inform what you’ll see next in your market.
Selena Cheung (BBA, CPA-CMA), a member of the Houseful agent network, has been a top 5% REALTOR® since 2009. She is also a real estate investor, professional accountant, educator and business builder. Here are her real estate advice and market insights for Greater Edmonton.
“The current inventory for single family dwelling is only available in 1 ½ month supply which is why single family prices have increased so much, whereas condos are available in a 5-month supply. In this sense, demand and supply are simultaneously driving prices. For condominiums the market is more balanced and still in favour of buyers.” -Selena Cheung0
As a first-time homebuyer looking for lower priced homes, be prepared for the seller to receive multiple offers. Cheung recommends being strategic: “Your offering price might need to be higher than the asking price. I’ve seen the price of listed homes increase, especially for pre-constructions and newly built homes. We often see increases of $5000 – $10,000 per week for these types of homes, and properties are pending or selling incredibly quickly.”
Want to win a bidding war? If you’re bidding along with multiple other offers, Cheung recommends keeping your offer simple, and shortening the conditions to 5-7 business days when you can. You can also use conditions to protect yourself as a buyer. “Buying a home is a very emotional decision but do your best to remove as much emotion from the decision-making process as possible. If you miss your first offer, don’t worry. As we say, the deal of the decade comes around about once a week.”
Marko & Mike Realty are members of the Houseful agent network with Realty One Group Insider based in Leduc, AB. They service the Greater Edmonton Area for residential, recreational and country residential properties. Here’s what they’re seeing in Edmonton and the surrounding area.
The Edmonton market is very active at the moment and a shortage of listings is causing a spike in sold prices, and decrease on days on the market. “The Province of Alberta just balanced the budget for 2022” say Mike and Mark. ”Jobs are plentiful in the region, low taxation rates and lower cost of living are the main reasons we see for migration to the province. The Edmonton area still has some of the lowest costs of ownership in all of the major metropolitan cities in Canada, and we see many out-of-province buyers actively looking in the Edmonton area”. Here are some more trends they’re seeing in 2022:
“Did you know that your bank does a similar exercise after you are pre-approved for your mortgage? The banks do this to ensure that you are not overpaying for the home and putting yourself under water on the mortgage at the time of purchase. In 2021, a significant percentage of deals in our market fell through due to financing issues.” – Marko & Mike Realty.
Jennifer Parsons is a real estate agent, a member of the Houseful agent network and REALTOR® at StreetCity Realty Inc. in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario. Born and raised in Sault Ste. Marie, Parsons operates her business on the pillars of respect and transparency. Here are the local trends she’s seeing with an application to the Ontario market as a whole.
The average cost of owning a home in Sault Ste. Marie is far below the average in Ontario. In January of 2022, the average cost of a home in Ontario was $998,629. In Sault Ste. Marie, the average cost of a home was $296,281.
Surrounded by Lake Superior and Lake Huron, the Sault Ste. Marie and Algoma Region offers an abundance of lifestyle options.
“On top of having some of the most affordable housing in Ontario, we also capitalize on having the most impressive sunsets in the summertime, and the best ski hills and snow mobile trails in the winter. If you’re considering a move, consider Sault Ste. Marie and Algoma Region. Those looking to get away from the fast-paced hustle and bustle of large metropolitan cities in the Greater Toronto Area will appreciate the amenities that the Sault and surrounding area have to offer. Owning a home, owning a cottage, and planning for retirement can be realized in northern Ontario.” -Jennifer Parsons, StreetCity Realty.
The Houseful agent network is Canada-wide, with expert knowledge pertaining to each market. Whether you’re searching for a home in an urban centre like Toronto, or Vancouver, or looking to buy in a small town or rural area like Elk Point, Alberta, or Dundas, Ontario, we’re here to help.
Ready to get started on your home search? See what’s on the market near you and to connect with your local agent at houseful.ca.
This article offers general information only and is not intended as legal, financial or other professional advice. A professional advisor should be consulted regarding your specific situation. While the information presented is believed to be factual and current, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of the subjects discussed. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the author(s) as of the date of publication and are subject to change. No endorsement of any third parties or their advice, opinions, information, products or services is expressly given or implied by Royal Bank of Canada or its affiliates.
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